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Las Palmas vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Las Palmas vs. Barcelona at the La Liga on January 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Barcelona
2
1
Jan 4, 8:30PM Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria)
Las Palmas
Jan 4, 8:30PM Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Las PalmasLPA
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
Munir El Haddadi (12')
Soccer ball icon
D. Sinkgraven (90')
Red Card icon
F. Torres (56')
Soccer ball icon
I. Gundogan (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LPA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCB
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
D. Sinkgraven (Las Palmas) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
K. Rodriguez (Las Palmas) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by I. Gundogan (pen.)
2-1
89'
Yellow Card
S. Cardona (Las Palmas) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
Javier Munoz (Las Palmas) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: D. Sinkgraven replaces Alex Suarez
81'
Yellow Card
L. Yamal (Barcelona) cautioned
79'
Yellow Card
S. Coco (Las Palmas) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Vitor Roque replaces F. Torres
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Lopez replaces S. Roberto
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: L. Yamal replaces Raphinha
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Joao Felix replaces R. Lewandowski
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: E. Loiodice replaces A. Moleiro
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: Pejino replaces S. Ramirez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Cardona replaces Munir El Haddadi
58'
Yellow Card
Alex Suarez (Las Palmas) cautioned
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by F. Torres, assisted by S. Roberto
1-1
20'
Yellow Card
S. Roberto (Barcelona) cautioned
20'
Yellow Card
Xavi (Barcelona) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Las Palmas by Munir El Haddadi, assisted by S. Ramirez
0-1
11'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: A. Christensen replaces J. Cancelo

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Las Palmas vs. Barcelona: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Las Palmas vs. Barcelona prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Las Palmas vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Thursday, January 4, 2024
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Gran Canaria
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Las Palmas +550, Barcelona -210, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-166/+138)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Las Palmas: 16.8%
  • Barcelona: 61.6%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Las Palmas 0-1 Barcelona, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Las Palmas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.8% probability, while Barcelona sits at 61.6%, with the draw at 21.6%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Las Palmas vs. Barcelona prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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