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Granada vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Granada vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on December 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
:
1
Dec 11, 3:15PM Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)
Granada
Dec 11, 3:15PM Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GranadaGCF
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (o.g.) (55')
Soccer ball icon
I. Williams (6')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCF
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
BIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: A. Puertas replaces S. Ruiz
90'
Yellow Card
Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: P. Nolaskoain replaces B. Prados Diaz
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Herrera replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces I. Williams
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: J. Callejon replaces L. Boye
79'
Yellow Card
N. Williams (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: N. Petrovic replaces G. Villar
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Villalibre replaces G. Guruzeta
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Y. Berchiche replaces O. de Marcos
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Granada CF by I. Ruiz de Galarreta (o.g.)
1-1
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams
1-0

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Granada vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Granada vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Granada vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Monday, December 11, 2023
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Granada +350, Athletic Bilbao -115, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+112)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Granada: 26.3%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 48.6%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Granada 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Granada is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.3% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 48.6%, with the draw at 25.1%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Granada vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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