NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Thursday 3/28/2024

We have another action-packed day of NBA basketball ahead of us, and we've simulated every matchup thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Thursday, March 28, 2024.

Thursday's NBA slate features star players such as Zion Williamson, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jaylen Brown, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 28.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 28, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	15.9%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	15.5%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	14.9%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	14.4%
CJ McCollum (Pelicans)	11.9%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	11.6%
Clint Capela (Hawks)	11.4%
Damian Lillard (Bucks)	10.7%
Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)	10.5%
Khris Middleton (Bucks)	9.8%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Zion Williamson, with a probability of 15.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a 15.5% probability, and Jaylen Brown, with a 14.9% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Thursday, which does not always indicate that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 3/28/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

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1. Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Game: Celtics vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Celtics and Hawks. The bet is on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.7%.

The next two recommended bets are for Clint Capela (2.3% edge) to score first in the Celtics vs. Hawks game and De'Andre Hunter (1.4%) to score the first basket, also in the Celtics-Hawks matchup.

2. Clint Capela To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 11.4%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Celtics vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Clint Capela (ATL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Thursday's Best NBA Bets

3. De'Andre Hunter To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 9.7%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Thursday comes in the Celtics vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on De'Andre Hunter (ATL) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Thursday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Bogdan Bogdanovic To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 9.5%
• Game: Celtics vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Celtics vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.2% on Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Vit Krejci To Score First Basket (+2000)

• Odds: +2000
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 4.9%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Thursday is Vit Krejci (ATL) at odds of +2000 in the Celtics vs. Hawks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Thursday slate:

• Celtics vs. Hawks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Thursday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: March 28, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 28, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Thursday, March 28, are made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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