NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Tuesday, 4/23/2024]

Last updated: Apr 23, 2024, 4:46PM | Published: Apr 23, 2024, 5:32AM

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA basketball, and we've simulated all of today's games 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Tuesday, April 23, 2024.

Tuesday's NBA slate features star players such as Bobby Portis, Pascal Siakam and Luka Doncic, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Tuesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 23.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 23, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Bobby Portis (Bucks)	14.5%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	14.5%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	14.1%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)	13.5%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	13.4%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	13.2%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)	13.0%
Myles Turner (Pacers)	12.6%
Bradley Beal (Suns)	11.9%
Devin Booker (Suns)	11.7%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Bobby Portis, with a probability of 14.5%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Pascal Siakam, with a 14.5% probability, and Luka Doncic, with a 14.1% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Tuesday, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 4/23/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday.

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1. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+1300)

Odds: +1300
Edge: 2.6%
Probability: 9.7%
Game: Pacers vs. Bucks (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Pacers and Bucks. The bet is on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.6%.

The next two recommended bets are for Pascal Siakam (2.0% edge) to score first in the Pacers vs. Bucks game and Mike Conley (1.5%) to score the first basket in the Suns vs. Timberwolves matchup.

2. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+700)

Odds: +700
Edge: 2.0%
Probability: 14.5%
Matchup: Pacers vs. Bucks (8:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday also comes in the Pacers vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.0% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's Best NBA Bets

3. Mike Conley To Score First Basket (+1300)

Odds: +1300
Edge: 1.5%
Probability: 8.6%
Matchup: Suns vs. Timberwolves (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Suns vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on Mike Conley (MIN) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Terance Mann To Score First Basket (+1100)

Odds: +1100
Edge: 1.0%
Probability: 9.3%
Game: Mavericks vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Mavericks vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.0% on Terance Mann (LAC) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+700)

Odds: +700
Edge: 1.0%
Probability: 13.5%
Matchup: Suns vs. Timberwolves (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Tuesday is Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +700 in the Suns vs. Timberwolves game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.0% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Tuesday slate:

Suns vs. Timberwolves Prediction (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction (8:30PM ET, Tuesday)
Mavericks vs. Clippers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 23, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 23, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, April 23, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Nick Slade

Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content.

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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