Jul 23, 2026
World Cup betting: Dimers predictions return positive ROI across futures and pre-match markets
Read Article Australia vs. Egypt prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Australia vs Egypt predictions for World Cup 2026 Friday.
Australia will square off with Egypt in the round of 32 of the World Cup 2026 at AT&T Stadium on Friday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Egypt as the most likely winner of the Australia vs. Egypt game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Australia vs. Egypt prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's World Cup 2026 game between Australia and Egypt, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 30.5% chance of Australia winning, a 38.6% chance for Egypt, and a 30.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 1.5-goal over/under has a 59.1% chance of going over, with a 60.5% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Egypt holds a 26.3% probability to win without conceding, with Australia at 20.6%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Egypt to win or draw at 69.5%.
Keep in mind that soccer markets are settled at the end of 90 minutes. Unlike NBA betting where overtime counts, extra time won't factor into these odds unless explicitly noted.
Egypt vs. Australia odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Australia | Egypt | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +260 | +145 | +180 |
Total Goals
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|
| -170 | +140 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Australia vs. Egypt picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Australia @ +260 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 1.5 @ +140 via BetMGM
- Win to Nil: Australia @ +375 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Australia or Egypt @ -240 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -144 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Australia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Australia's odds provide the best value right now.
Australia vs. Egypt: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Egypt win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Australia 0-1 Egypt | 14.7% |
| Australia 0-0 Egypt | 13.7% |
| Australia 1-1 Egypt | 13.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 39.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 60.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Australia vs. Egypt player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Australia-Egypt:
Australia
- Nestory Irankunda: 16.7% probability
- Cristian Volpato: 11.2% probability
- Conor Metcalfe: 9.0% probability
- Jackson Irvine: 7.6% probability
- Jordan Bos: 7.3% probability
Egypt
- Mohamed Salah: 22.6% probability
- Omar Marmoush: 18.9% probability
- Mostafa Ziko: 15.5% probability
- Emam Ashour: 10.0% probability
- Karim Hafez: 4.8% probability
Australia vs. Egypt game-day updates and essential details
Friday's soccer World Cup matchup between Australia and Egypt at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Australia vs. Egypt
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Australia has a 30.5% win probability on Friday, Egypt has a 38.6% win probability, and there is a 30.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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