Aug 27, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Valkyries vs. Liberty play [8/27/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, August 27, 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 8/27.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Thursday, August 27, 2026—are live with the Mystics' Shakira Austin projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections derive insights from detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Austin, Gabby Williams and Breanna Stewart lead Thursday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 27, 2026)
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 15.7% probability
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 15.3% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 12.1% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 12.1% probability
- Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 12.0% probability
- Kelsey Plum (Mercury): 12.0% probability
- Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries): 11.7% probability
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 11.1% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 10.8% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 10.6% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 10.1% probability
- Alyssa Thomas (Mercury): 9.7% probability
- Natasha Mack (Mercury): 9.3% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 8.9% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 7.6% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 7.5% probability
- Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 7.1% probability
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 7.0% probability
- Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 4.9% probability
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 4.7% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (August 27, 2026)
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 2.0% edge at +1000
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 2.0% edge at +650
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 1.2% edge at +1200
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 1.0% edge at +1000
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 0.8% edge at +1520
- Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 0.3% edge at +750
- Natasha Mack (Mercury): 0.2% edge at +1000
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/27.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Thursday, August 27, 2026, Shakira Austin, Gabby Williams and Breanna Stewart lead our first basket projections, while Veronica Burton shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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