Aug 25, 2026
WNBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Bridget Carleton [8/25/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 8/25.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, August 25, 2026—are live with the Mystics' Shakira Austin projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Austin, Sydney Taylor and Kiki Iriafen lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 25, 2026)
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): 15.6% probability
- Sydney Taylor (Sky): 14.7% probability
- Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 13.2% probability
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun): 12.8% probability
- Kelsey Plum (Mercury): 12.8% probability
- Megan Gustafson (Fire): 12.8% probability
- Kahleah Copper (Mercury): 12.3% probability
- Paige Bueckers (Wings): 12.2% probability
- Kamilla Cardoso (Sky): 11.7% probability
- Diamond Miller (Sun): 11.1% probability
- Bridget Carleton (Fire): 11.1% probability
- Kennedy Burke (Sun): 11.0% probability
- Carla Leite (Fire): 11.0% probability
- Jessica Shepard (Wings): 10.9% probability
- Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 10.6% probability
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 10.2% probability
- Alyssa Thomas (Mercury): 9.3% probability
- Saniya Rivers (Sun): 9.2% probability
- Alanna Smith (Wings): 9.1% probability
- Natasha Mack (Mercury): 8.8% probability
- Natasha Cloud (Sky): 8.8% probability
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 8.6% probability
- Azura Stevens (Sky): 8.1% probability
- Awak Kuier (Wings): 7.3% probability
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 6.8% probability
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 6.8% probability
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 6.8% probability
- Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 6.6% probability
- Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 5.8% probability
- Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 4.2% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (August 25, 2026)
- Sydney Taylor (Sky): 5.6% edge at +1000
- Megan Gustafson (Fire): 1.7% edge at +800
- Natasha Cloud (Sky): 1.6% edge at +1300
- Bridget Carleton (Fire): 1.1% edge at +900
- Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 1.1% edge at +950
- Courtney Vandersloot (Sky): 0.9% edge at +1600
- Sonia Citron (Mystics): 0.7% edge at +950
- Noemie Brochant (Mercury): 0.7% edge at +1540
- Emily Engstler (Fire): 0.2% edge at +1100
- Diamond Miller (Sun): 0.2% edge at +820
- Saniya Rivers (Sun): 0.1% edge at +1000
- Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 0.1% edge at +1400
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/25.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Tuesday, August 25, 2026, Shakira Austin, Sydney Taylor and Kiki Iriafen lead our first basket projections, with Taylor shaping as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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