WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, August 20, 2026

WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 20, 2026)

• Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 16.2% probability
• Brittney Griner (Sun): 14.7% probability
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 14.2% probability
• A'ja Wilson (Aces): 14.2% probability
• Paige Bueckers (Wings): 13.8% probability
• Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 12.7% probability
• Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 12.7% probability
• Jackie Young (Aces): 12.5% probability
• Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun): 11.6% probability
• Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.5% probability
• Aliyah Boston (Fever): 11.2% probability
• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 11.1% probability
• Angel Reese (Dream): 11.0% probability
• Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 10.9% probability
• Jessica Shepard (Wings): 10.3% probability
• NaLyssa Smith (Aces): 10.2% probability
• Rhyne Howard (Dream): 10.2% probability
• Alanna Smith (Wings): 10.1% probability
• Diamond Miller (Sun): 9.9% probability
• Leila Lacan (Sun): 9.1% probability
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 8.0% probability
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 7.6% probability
• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 7.3% probability
• Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.3% probability
• Jordin Canada (Dream): 7.2% probability
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 5.5% probability
• Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 5.5% probability
• Alysha Clark (Wings): 5.0% probability
• Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 4.8% probability
• Lexie Hull (Fever): 3.8% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (August 20, 2026)

• Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 3.7% edge at +700
• Leila Lacan (Sun): 2.8% edge at +1500
• Diamond Miller (Sun): 2.2% edge at +1200
• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 2.0% edge at +1000
• Alanna Smith (Wings): 1.5% edge at +1060
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 1.3% edge at +1400
• Arike Ogunbowale (Wings): 0.9% edge at +900
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 0.3% edge at +1820
• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 0.2% edge at +1300
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 0.1% edge at +1240

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/20.

Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket

For Thursday, August 20, 2026, Kelsey Mitchell, Brittney Griner and Allisha Gray lead our first basket projections, with Mitchell shaping as the strongest value play at +700. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

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