Mystics vs. Sparks prediction: Washington favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [8/28/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mystics a 69.8% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Sparks (+5.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 167.5 points has a 56.2% chance of going over.

Mystics vs. Sparks odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mystics -5.5 (+108) / Sparks +5.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Mystics -200, Sparks +199

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mystics vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Mystics -5.5 @ +108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Mystics @ -200 via BetMGM
• Total: Over 167.5 @ +100 via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 167.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mystics vs. Sparks player props

Looking for Washington vs. Los Angeles WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 14 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 16 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sparks.

When evaluating the first basket market, Shakira Austin is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	14	9	2	1	35
Kiki Iriafen	14	9	2	0	31
Sonia Citron	13	3	6	1	31
Georgia Amoore	11	3	4	3	25
M. Onyenwere	7	2	2	2	15

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	16	8	2	1	34
Rae Burrell	15	2	3	2	27
Dearica Hamby	13	6	2	0	29
Cameron Brink	9	6	2	1	26
Erica Wheeler	8	2	4	1	20

Mystics vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Sparks and Mystics at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with a 69.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.