Mystics vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [8/13/2026]

The Las Vegas Aces and Washington Mystics are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner in this Mystics vs. Aces prediction.

The Aces, led by A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith, are set to take on the Mystics, featuring Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Mystics vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Aces a 63.9% chance of beating the Mystics.

According to our model, the Mystics (+6.5) have a 59.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 171.5 points has a 54.7% chance of going over,.

Mystics vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mystics +6.5 (-112) / Aces -6.5 (+117)
• Moneyline: Mystics +203, Aces -213

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mystics vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Mystics +6.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Mystics @ +203 via Polymarket
• Total: Over 171.5 @ -108 via DraftKings

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics +6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mystics vs. Aces player props

Betting on Mystics vs. Aces WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 15 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 26 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.

For early game action, the data identifies Shakira Austin as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	15	9	3	1	36
Sonia Citron	15	3	4	1	30
Kiki Iriafen	14	9	3	0	33
M. Onyenwere	8	3	2	1	17
Cotie McMahon	8	3	2	1	18

Aces prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	26	10	3	1	52
Jackie Young	18	4	7	3	39
NaLyssa Smith	13	7	2	0	28
Chelsea Gray	12	3	7	2	33
Jewell Loyd	7	3	2	2	16

Mystics vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Aces and Mystics at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 63.9% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

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