Mystics vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Tuesday's WNBA game [8/11/2026]
Get Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Las Vegas Aces will take on the Washington Mystics in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner in this Mystics vs. Aces prediction.
The Aces, led by A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith, are set to take on the Mystics, who feature Sonia Citron, Shakira Austin and Kiki Iriafen.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mystics vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Aces a 64.1% chance of defeating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Mystics (+6.5) have a 59.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 55.0% chance of going over,.
Mystics vs. Aces odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Mystics +6.5 (-104) / Aces -6.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Mystics +233, Aces -245
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mystics vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Mystics +6.5 @ -104 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mystics @ +233 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 170.5 @ -110 via Fanatics
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mystics vs. Aces player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Washington vs. Las Vegas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Sonia Citron is expected to lead the Mystics with 15 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 26 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.
For early game action, the data identifies A'ja Wilson as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mystics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| Shakira Austin | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| M. Onyenwere | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
| Cotie McMahon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 26 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 53 |
| Jackie Young | 19 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 40 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Jewell Loyd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
Mystics vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Aces and Mystics at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 64.1% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
