Fire vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [8/28/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA game between the Fire and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Dream an 88.0% chance of defeating the Fire.

According to our model, the Fire (+13.5) have a 53.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 179.5-point over/under has a 50.8% chance of staying under.

Fire vs. Dream odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fire +13.5 (-108) / Dream -13.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Fire +700, Dream -733

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Dream picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Fire +13.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Dream @ -733 via Polymarket
• Total: Under 179.5 @ -104 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fire +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Dream player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Fire vs. Dream game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.

Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Dream.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Allisha Gray as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	17	3	7	1	34
B. Carleton	15	5	2	3	30
Megan DiLeo	14	5	1	2	26
Emily Engstler	11	7	3	1	31
K. Samuelson	6	2	1	1	12

Dream prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	20	4	4	2	36
Angel Reese	18	13	4	1	49
Rhyne Howard	18	4	4	3	37
Jordin Canada	11	4	7	1	33
Naz Hillmon	10	5	2	1	23

Fire vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Dream and Fire at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gateway Center Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with an 88.0% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.