Liberty vs. Sky prediction: Why New York is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA game [8/18/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Liberty and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 65.7% chance of beating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+4.5) have a 50.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 180 points has a 54.2% chance of staying under,.

Liberty vs. Sky odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Liberty -4.5 (-104) / Sky +4.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Liberty -177, Sky +186

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Liberty vs. Sky picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sky +4.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Liberty @ -177 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 180 @ +100 via DraftKings

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 180 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Liberty vs. Sky player props

Betting on New York vs. Chicago WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.

Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kamilla Cardoso is projected to have 15 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sky.

For early game action, the data identifies Kamilla Cardoso as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Liberty prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	17	7	3	1	38
Jonquel Jones	13	10	3	2	35
Marine Johannes	12	2	2	3	23
Sabrina Ionescu	11	3	4	2	25
Rebecca Allen	10	3	1	2	20

Sky prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kamilla Cardoso	15	8	2	0	34
Sydney Taylor	13	2	2	2	21
Natasha Cloud	11	4	5	1	29
C. Vandersloot	10	3	5	1	26
Azura Stevens	9	6	2	1	23

Liberty vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Sky and Liberty at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Wintrust Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 65.7% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.