Sparks vs. Sun prediction: Why Los Angeles is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [8/18/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Sparks and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Sparks a 50.9% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+1.5) have a 54.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 169.5-point over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over,.

Sparks vs. Sun odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sparks -1.5 (+100) / Sun +1.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Sparks -120, Sun +117

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sparks vs. Sun picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sun +1.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Sun @ +117 via Polymarket
• Total: Over 169.5 @ +100 via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sparks vs. Sun player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Sparks vs. Sun game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.

Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Leila Lacan is projected to have 11 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sun.

For early game action, the data identifies Brittney Griner as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sparks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	16	8	3	1	35
Dearica Hamby	16	7	2	0	34
Rae Burrell	15	3	3	2	28
Ariel Atkins	10	3	3	1	25
Erica Wheeler	10	3	5	1	25

Sun prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Leila Lacan	11	3	4	1	27
O. Nelson-Ododa	10	6	2	0	24
Aaliyah Edwards	9	4	1	0	18
Diamond Miller	9	3	2	2	18
Brittney Griner	8	4	2	0	18

Sparks vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Sun and Sparks at TD Garden is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: TD Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Sparks, with a 50.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.