Fever vs. Dream prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 22 points in Sunday's WNBA game [8/16/2026]
Get Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Sunday.
WNBA action continues on Sunday at 5:00 PM ET as the Indiana Fever lock horns with the Atlanta Dream at State Farm Arena.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner in this Fever vs. Dream prediction.
The Dream, with star players like Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.
Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 22 points and 3 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Dream a 61.8% chance of beating the Fever.
According to our model, the Dream (-1.5) have a 56.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 187.5 points has a 55.3% chance of staying under,.
Fever vs. Dream odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Fever +1.5 (+100) / Dream -1.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Fever +111, Dream -108
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Dream picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Dream -1.5 @ -104 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Dream @ -108 via Polymarket
- Total: Under 187.5 @ -102 via Novig
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Dream player props
WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Indiana vs. Atlanta game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 25 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.
For early game action, the data identifies Kelsey Mitchell as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 25 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 37 |
| Caitlin Clark | 22 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 50 |
| Aliyah Boston | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 39 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
Dream prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Rhyne Howard | 18 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 38 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 42 |
| Jordin Canada | 11 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 33 |
| Naz Hillmon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
Fever vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Dream and Fever at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 61.8% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
