Wings vs. Aces prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 21 points in Thursday's WNBA game [6/25/2026]

The Las Vegas Aces will square off with the Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Aces game.

The Aces, led by A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, will face off against the Wings, whose lineup includes Paige Bueckers, Azzi Fudd and Jessica Shepard.

Bueckers, the young phenom making headlines with the Wings, is expected to shine with a projected 21 points and 1 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Wings vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Wings and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Aces a 65.5% chance of defeating the Wings.

According to our model, the Wings (+5.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 63.7% chance of staying under,.

Wings vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wings	Aces
Spread	+5.5 (-105)	-5.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+200	-238
Total	o178.5 (-112)	u178.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wings vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Wings +5.5	-105
Moneyline	Wings	+200
Total	Under 178.5	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Wings vs. Aces player props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Dallas vs. Las Vegas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 30 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to A'ja Wilson striking first with a 15% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	21	4	5	1	39
Azzi Fudd	16	2	2	3	29
Jessica Shepard	15	13	5	0	41
A. Ogunbowale	14	2	3	2	25
Awak Kuier	7	5	1	1	19

Aces prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	30	9	4	2	56
Jackie Young	18	5	7	2	40
Chelsea Gray	12	4	7	2	35
NaLyssa Smith	11	6	1	0	23
Jewell Loyd	10	3	1	2	21

Wings vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Aces and Wings at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 65.5% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.