Sun vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [8/20/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Sun and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Aces an 87.8% chance of defeating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+14.5) have a 58.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 167.5 points has a 57.0% chance of going over,.

Sun vs. Aces odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sun +14.5 (-108) / Aces -14.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Sun +900, Aces -1000

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sun +14.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Sun @ +900 via Polymarket
• Total: Over 167.5 @ -110 via FanDuel

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +14.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sun vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Aces and Sun at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with an 87.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.