Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula Prediction, Picks and Odds

Aryna Sabalenka faces Jessica Pegula in the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on September 10, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Aryna Sabalenka
Semifinal
vs.
US Open Women Singles 2026
Jessica Pegula
US Open Women Singles 2026
Pre-Match Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Sabalenka
    61.2%
    bet365bet365
  • Pegula
    38.8%
    bet365bet365

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula: Detailed Breakdown

Match Overview

  • Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula
  • Date: Thursday, September 10, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aryna Sabalenka -189, Jessica Pegula +150
  • First Set Odds: Aryna Sabalenka -164, Jessica Pegula +130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aryna Sabalenka: 61.2%
  • Jessica Pegula: 38.8%

Dimers' predictive model provides an unbiased view of each player's winning chances after simulating the outcome of the match 10,000 times.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aryna Sabalenka a win probability of 61%, while Jessica Pegula has a win probability of 39%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Aryna Sabalenka is more likely to beat Jessica Pegula at the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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