Yibing Wu vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Wu-Alcaraz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Alcaraz a 90% chance of defeating Wu in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Carlos Alcaraz -2000, Yibing Wu +1100

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Wu @ +1100 via DraftKings
• First Set: Alcaraz @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 32.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin on Friday at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Yibing Wu vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat Yibing Wu at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.