Venus Williams vs. Sofia Kenin prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Venus Williams will square off with Sofia Kenin in the first round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Sunday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Sofia Kenin as the most likely winner in this Williams vs. Kenin prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Williams vs. Kenin prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Williams-Kenin women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Kenin an 83% chance of defeating Williams in the US Open 2026.

Venus Williams vs. Sofia Kenin odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Sofia Kenin -769, Venus Williams +530

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Williams vs. Kenin picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Williams @ +530 via DraftKings
• First Set: Kenin @ -128 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Venus Williams to win.

Although Williams is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Williams vs. Kenin updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Venus Williams and Sofia Kenin is scheduled to start on Sunday at 11:55 PM ET.

• Who: Venus Williams vs. Sofia Kenin
• Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:55 PM ET/8:55PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Sofia Kenin, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Venus Williams at the US Open 2026.

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