Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Mariano Navone prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Tomas Martin Etcheverry will face Mariano Navone in the third round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Friday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Tomas Etcheverry as the most likely winner in this Etcheverry vs. Navone prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Etcheverry vs. Navone prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Etcheverry-Navone men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Etcheverry a 53% chance of defeating Navone in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Etcheverry has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Navone (+0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 39.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Mariano Navone +100, Tomas Etcheverry -125
• First Set: Etcheverry -111, Navone -111

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Navone @ +100 via DraftKings
• First Set: Navone @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Mariano Navone to win.

Although Navone is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Mariano Navone is scheduled to start on Friday at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Mariano Navone
• Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Tomas Etcheverry, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Mariano Navone at the US Open 2026.

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