US Open bets today: Eight picks for Thursday ft. Swiatek vs. Podoroska [9/3/2026]

US Open Women Singles 2026: Nadia Podoroska +7.5 games (+110)

• Edge: 16.6%
• Probability: 64.2%
• Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Nadia Podoroska (11:00AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Nadia Podoroska +7.5 games at +110 odds in their matchup at US Open Women Singles 2026. A 64.2% probability produces an edge of 16.6%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

US Open Women Singles 2026: Nadia Podoroska vs. Iga Swiatek Over 16.5 total games (+100)

• Edge: 15.3%
• Probability: 65.3%
• Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Nadia Podoroska (11:00AM ET)

At US Open Women Singles 2026, Iga Swiatek vs. Nadia Podoroska over 16.5 total games carries a 15.3% edge and a probability of 65.3% at +100 odds, according to our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Alexander Zverev -4.5 (-145)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 69.9%
• Matchup: Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys (8:10PM ET)

Alexander Zverev -4.5 vs. Quentin Halys at -145 odds shows a 10.8% edge, supported by a 69.9% probability in simulations of the US Open Men Singles 2026 match.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev under 37.5 total games (-111)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Matchup: Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys (8:10PM ET)

A 7.0% edge and 59.6% probability make Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev under 37.5 total games a value play in the Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys matchup, per our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Flavio Cobolli -5.5 (-135)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Matchup: Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli (1:20PM ET)

Flavio Cobolli -5.5 at -135 odds presents a 6.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 63.6%.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Jakub Mensik -6.5 (-135)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 62.6%
• Matchup: Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov (1:20PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jakub Mensik -6.5 at -135 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 5.2%.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Jurij Rodionov vs. Jakub Mensik Under 35.5 total games (-135)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Matchup: Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov (1:20PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov Under 35.5 total games at -135 odds. A 62.2% probability produces a 4.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Flavio Cobolli vs. Tristan Schoolkate Under 36.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Matchup: Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli (1:20PM ET)

A 3.8% edge on a 60.3% probability makes Under 36.5 total games at -130 odds a solid value play in this US Open Men Singles 2026 matchup.

US Open best bets summary: Thursday, 9/3/2026

As of 2:26AM ET, here are our top US Open bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming US Open matches to bet on now

• US Open Men Singles: Karen Khachanov vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Women Singles: Nadia Podoroska vs. Iga Swiatek (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Men Singles: Dalibor Svrcina vs. Luciano Darderi (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Women Singles: Anna Bondar vs. Madison Keys (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Women Singles: Elise Mertens vs. Maria Timofeeva (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Men Singles: Francisco Cerundolo vs. Jan-Lennard Struff (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Women Singles: Leolia Jeanjean vs. Anastasia Potapova (11:00AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Women Singles: Katerina Siniakova vs. Naomi Osaka (11:30AM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Women Singles: Amanda Anisimova vs. Lilli Tagger (12:10PM ET, Thursday)
• US Open Women Singles: Marie Bouzkova vs. Harriet Dart (12:10PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our US Open best bets are locked and loaded for September 3, 2026, featuring plays such as Nadia Podoroska +7.5 games vs. Iga Swiatek and over 16.5 total games also in the Iga Swiatek vs. Nadia Podoroska matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.