Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Fritz-Bellucci men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Fritz an 89% chance of winning against Bellucci in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Fritz has an 82% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bellucci (+7.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 34.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Mattia Bellucci +600, Taylor Fritz -877
• First Set: Fritz -500, Bellucci +350

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Fritz @ -877 via DraftKings
• First Set: Bellucci @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Taylor Fritz to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Taylor Fritz and Mattia Bellucci is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Taylor Fritz, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat Mattia Bellucci at the US Open 2026.

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