Tatjana Maria vs. Jelena Ostapenko prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Maria-Ostapenko women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Ostapenko a 56% chance of winning against Maria in the US Open 2026.

Tatjana Maria vs. Jelena Ostapenko odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jelena Ostapenko -164, Tatjana Maria +140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maria vs. Ostapenko picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Maria @ +140 via DraftKings
• First Set: Ostapenko @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Tatjana Maria to win.

Although Maria is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Maria vs. Ostapenko updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Tatjana Maria and Jelena Ostapenko is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Tatjana Maria vs. Jelena Ostapenko
• Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jelena Ostapenko, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Tatjana Maria at the US Open 2026.

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