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Read Article Marta Kostyuk vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Kostyuk vs Alexandrova predictions for US Open 2026.
Marta Kostyuk will take on Ekaterina Alexandrova in the third round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Friday.
Dimers' proven tennis model projects Marta Kostyuk as the most likely winner in this Kostyuk vs. Alexandrova prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Kostyuk vs. Alexandrova prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Kostyuk-Alexandrova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Kostyuk a 74% chance of beating Alexandrova in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Kostyuk has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kostyuk (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Ekaterina Alexandrova +264, Marta Kostyuk -303
- First Set: Kostyuk -227, Alexandrova +175
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Alexandrova @ +264 via DraftKings
- First Set: Alexandrova @ -128 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Marta Kostyuk and Ekaterina Alexandrova is scheduled to begin on Friday at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Marta Kostyuk vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Marta Kostyuk, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Ekaterina Alexandrova at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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