Maria Timofeeva vs. Elise Mertens prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Timofeeva-Mertens women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Mertens a 73% chance of winning against Timofeeva in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Elise Mertens -307, Maria Timofeeva +240

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Timofeeva @ +240 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mertens @ -118 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Maria Timofeeva to win.

Although Timofeeva is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Maria Timofeeva and Elise Mertens is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Maria Timofeeva vs. Elise Mertens
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Elise Mertens, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Maria Timofeeva at the US Open 2026.

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