Sep 4, 2026
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Read Article Karen Khachanov vs. Benjamin Bonzi prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Khachanov vs Bonzi predictions for US Open 2026.
Karen Khachanov will square off with Benjamin Bonzi in the third round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Saturday.
Dimers' proven tennis model projects Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner in this Khachanov vs. Bonzi prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Khachanov vs. Bonzi prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Khachanov-Bonzi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Khachanov a 65% chance of defeating Bonzi in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Khachanov has a 63% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Benjamin Bonzi +175, Karen Khachanov -196
- First Set: Khachanov -175, Bonzi +137
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Khachanov @ -196 via DraftKings
- First Set: Bonzi @ -105 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Karen Khachanov and Benjamin Bonzi is scheduled to start on Saturday at 1:20 PM ET.
- Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Benjamin Bonzi
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:20 PM ET/10:20AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Benjamin Bonzi at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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