Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Bouzas Maneiro-Rybakina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Rybakina an 82% chance of beating Bouzas Maneiro in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Rybakina has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -5.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 20.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Elena Rybakina -667, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro +480
• First Set: Bouzas Maneiro +300, Rybakina -400

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bouzas Maneiro @ +480 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rybakina @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jessica Bouzas Maneiro to win.

Although Bouzas Maneiro is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Elena Rybakina is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 8:40 PM ET.

• Who: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs. Elena Rybakina
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:40 PM ET/5:40PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Elena Rybakina, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Jessica Bouzas Maneiro at the US Open 2026.

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