Jasmine Paolini vs. Sorana Cirstea prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Get Paolini vs Cirstea predictions for US Open 2026.

Jasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea will lock horns in the third round of the US Open 2026 on Friday.
Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Sorana Cirstea as the most likely winner in this Paolini vs. Cirstea prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Paolini vs. Cirstea prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives Cirstea a 60% chance of winning against Paolini in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Cirstea has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Paolini (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Sorana Cirstea -182, Jasmine Paolini +160
- First Set: Paolini +137, Cirstea -175
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Paolini @ +160 via DraftKings
- First Set: Cirstea @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jasmine Paolini to win.
Although Paolini is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Jasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea is scheduled to begin on Friday at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Jasmine Paolini vs. Sorana Cirstea
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Sorana Cirstea, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Jasmine Paolini at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




