Iga Swiatek vs. Marie Bouzkova prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Swiatek-Bouzkova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Swiatek an 83% chance of beating Bouzkova in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Swiatek has a 78% chance of winning the first set, while the over 18.5 games has a 64% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Marie Bouzkova +450, Iga Swiatek -641
• First Set: Swiatek -400, Bouzkova +300

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bouzkova @ +450 via DraftKings
• First Set: Bouzkova @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Marie Bouzkova to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Iga Swiatek and Marie Bouzkova is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Iga Swiatek vs. Marie Bouzkova
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Iga Swiatek, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Marie Bouzkova at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.