Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Monfils-Tien men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Tien an 80% chance of defeating Monfils in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Learner Tien -476, Gael Monfils +360

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Monfils @ +360 via DraftKings
• First Set: Tien @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Gael Monfils to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Gael Monfils and Learner Tien is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Learner Tien, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Gael Monfils at the US Open 2026.

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