Daniil Medvedev vs. Hugo Gaston prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Medvedev-Gaston men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Medvedev a 91% chance of beating Gaston in the US Open 2026.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Hugo Gaston odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Hugo Gaston +625, Daniil Medvedev -980

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Medvedev vs. Gaston picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Medvedev @ -980 via DraftKings
• First Set: Gaston @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniil Medvedev to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Medvedev vs. Gaston updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Daniil Medvedev and Hugo Gaston is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 1:10 PM ET.

• Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Hugo Gaston
• Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat Hugo Gaston at the US Open 2026.

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