Aryna Sabalenka vs. Kamilla Rakhimova prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Get Sabalenka vs Rakhimova predictions for US Open 2026.

Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova are scheduled to meet in the third round of the US Open 2026 on Friday.
Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner in this Sabalenka vs. Rakhimova prediction.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sabalenka vs. Rakhimova prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model gives Sabalenka an 88% chance of defeating Rakhimova in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Sabalenka has an 83% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rakhimova (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 18.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Kamilla Rakhimova +1000, Aryna Sabalenka -1250
- First Set: Sabalenka -714, Rakhimova +450
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Rakhimova @ +1000 via DraftKings
- First Set: Rakhimova @ -110 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Kamilla Rakhimova to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Kamilla Rakhimova is scheduled to commence on Friday at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Kamilla Rakhimova
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Kamilla Rakhimova at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




