Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Alexander Zverev will take on Ben Shelton in the final of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Sunday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner in this Zverev vs. Shelton prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Zverev vs. Shelton prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Zverev-Shelton men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Zverev a 57% chance of defeating Shelton in the US Open 2026. Additionally, Zverev has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zverev (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 43.5 games has a 66% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Ben Shelton +130, Alexander Zverev -149
• First Set: Zverev -139, Shelton +110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Shelton @ +130 via DraftKings
• First Set: Shelton @ -133 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Ben Shelton to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton
• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Final

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alexander Zverev, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Ben Shelton at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.