Alex Michelsen vs. Daniel Merida prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Michelsen-Merida men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Michelsen a 65% chance of defeating Merida in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Daniel Merida +175, Alex Michelsen -192

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Merida @ +175 via DraftKings
• First Set: Merida @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniel Merida to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida is scheduled to begin on Friday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Alex Michelsen vs. Daniel Merida
• Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alex Michelsen, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Merida at the US Open 2026.

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