Aug 21, 2026
Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Sea Eagles prediction: Knights favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 25 matchup [8/22/2026]
Read Article South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. New Zealand Warriors prediction: Warriors favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 25 matchup [8/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors predictions for NRL Saturday.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs and New Zealand Warriors will lock horns in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Stadium Australia on Saturday, starting at 3:30 AM ET.
Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner in this Warriors vs. Rabbitohs prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rabbitohs vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win Round 25 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL matchup between the Warriors and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 69.3% chance of beating the Rabbitohs.
According to our model, the Warriors (-4.5) have a 57.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 53.1% chance of going over,.
Warriors vs. Souths odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Warriors -189, Rabbitohs +145
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Warriors -4.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Warriors @ -189 via BetRivers
- Total: Over 44.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Warriors -4.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rabbitohs vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Rabbitohs and Warriors at Stadium Australia is scheduled to commence at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: New Zealand Warriors vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
- Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 69.3% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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