Brisbane Broncos vs. Melbourne Storm prediction: Storm favored to win Thursday's NRL Round 26 matchup [8/27/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NRL matchup between the Storm and Broncos, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Storm a 65.2% chance of beating the Broncos.

According to our model, the Storm (-2.5) have a 55.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 50.5 points has a 60.0% chance of staying under.

Storm vs. Broncos odds

We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Storm -161, Broncos +128

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Broncos picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Storm -2.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Storm @ -161 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 50.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 50.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Broncos vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's Australian rugby league action between the Broncos and Storm at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:50 AM ET.

• Who: Melbourne Storm vs. Brisbane Broncos
• Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
• Time: 5:50 AM ET/2:50AM PT
• Venue: Suncorp Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 65.2% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Thursday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.