Dolphins vs. Brisbane Broncos prediction: Dolphins favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 23 matchup [8/8/2026]

Dolphins will take on the Brisbane Broncos in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner in this Broncos vs. Dolphins prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dolphins vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win Round 23 game?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL game between the Broncos and Dolphins, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dolphins an 80.3% chance of defeating the Broncos.

According to our model, the Dolphins (-10.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 55.0% chance of staying under,.

Broncos vs. Dolphins odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Dolphins @ -286 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 49.5 @ -110 via DraftKings

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Broncos vs. Dolphins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Dolphins -10.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Dolphins @ -286 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 49.5 @ -110 via DraftKings According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dolphins to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dolphins vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Dolphins and Broncos at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 AM ET.

• Who: Brisbane Broncos vs. Dolphins
• Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
• Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
• Venue: Suncorp Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with an 80.3% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Saturday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.