Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Golden Knights
6
3
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
2 2 2 6
Maple Leafs
0 3 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
2 2 2 6
Maple Leafs
0 3 0 3
P3 18:39 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Adin Hill
P3 17:00 Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:51 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:34 Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:30 Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:41 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 14:29 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 14:09 Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:27 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:51 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 11:05 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 10:10 Shot on goal by Alexander Holtz saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:56 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:58 Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 07:36 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 05:42 Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 02:57 Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 02:19 Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 01:07 Max Domi shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 00:08 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:01
    Reilly Smith won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Adin Hill
  4. P3 18:32
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  5. P3 17:32
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Anthony Stolarz
  7. P3 16:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
  8. P3 16:35
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  9. P3 16:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  10. P3 16:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
  11. P3 16:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
  12. P3 15:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
  13. P3 15:11
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  14. P3 14:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  15. P3 14:09
    SHOT
    Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by teammate
  16. P3 12:37
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  17. P3 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
  18. P3 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  19. P3 11:05
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  20. P3 10:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Holtz saved by Anthony Stolarz
  21. P3 09:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  22. P3 09:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
  23. P3 08:42
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  24. P3 08:38
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  25. P3 08:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  26. P3 07:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
  27. P3 07:58
    Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
  28. P3 07:36
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  29. P3 06:51
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  30. P3 05:42
    SHOT
    Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  31. P3 04:48
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  32. P3 04:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 04:08
    Giveaway by Anthony Stolarz in defensive zone
  34. P3 03:51
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  35. P3 03:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  36. P3 02:59
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  37. P3 02:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  38. P3 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Anthony Stolarz
  39. P3 02:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Anthony Stolarz
  40. P3 01:33
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
  41. P3 01:07
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  42. P3 00:33
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  43. P3 00:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Maple Leafs
  44. P3 00:00
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  45. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  46. P2 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  47. P2 18:46
    John Tavares won faceoff against Reilly Smith in defensive zone
  48. P2 18:30
    Giveaway by Rasmus Andersson in neutral zone
  49. P2 18:19
    John Tavares won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
  50. P2 17:54
    Tanner Laczynski won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  51. P2 17:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  52. P2 17:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  53. P2 16:44
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  54. P2 16:44
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  55. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  56. P2 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Adin Hill
  57. P2 14:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  58. P2 14:10
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  59. P2 14:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  60. P2 13:55
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
  61. P2 12:35
    Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
  62. P2 12:16
    Giveaway by Ben Hutton in defensive zone
  63. P2 11:36
    SHOT
    Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
  64. P2 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Adin Hill
  65. P2 10:04
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Scott Laughton assisted by Matthew Knies
    4-2
  66. P2 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Laczynski
  67. P2 08:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Laczynski saved by Anthony Stolarz
  68. P2 06:57
    SHOT
    Auston Matthews shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  69. P2 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Adin Hill
  70. P2 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Adin Hill
  71. P2 05:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  72. P2 05:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  73. P2 05:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Braeden Bowman assisted by Tanner Laczynski and Alexander Holtz
    4-1
  74. P2 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Anthony Stolarz
  75. P2 04:50
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  76. P2 03:32
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  77. P2 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  78. P2 03:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  79. P2 02:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 02:08
    Giveaway by Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
  81. P2 01:55
    SHOT
    Ben Hutton shot blocked by Easton Cowan
  82. P2 00:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
  83. P2 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
  84. P2 00:13
    GOAL
    Goal scored by John Tavares
    2-1
  85. P2 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  86. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  87. P1 19:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  88. P1 19:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Golden Knights
  89. P1 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  90. P1 18:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Adin Hill
  91. P1 18:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  92. P1 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Adin Hill
  93. P1 15:53
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by teammate
  94. P1 14:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  95. P1 14:14
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  96. P1 13:55
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  97. P1 13:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  98. P1 13:35
    Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in offensive zone
  99. P1 12:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Benoit
  100. P1 12:04
    Giveaway by Alexander Holtz in offensive zone
  101. P1 11:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Holtz
  102. P1 11:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
  103. P1 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  104. P1 09:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Anthony Stolarz
  105. P1 09:07
    Scott Laughton credited with hit on Noah Hanifin in neutral zone
  106. P1 08:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mark Stone
  107. P1 07:16
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  108. P1 07:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Anthony Stolarz
  109. P1 06:53
    Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  110. P1 06:42
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  111. P1 06:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Adin Hill
  112. P1 06:10
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  113. P1 05:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  114. P1 05:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Adin Hill
  115. P1 04:31
    Tanner Laczynski won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  116. P1 04:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Keegan Kolesar assisted by Jonas Rondbjerg
    2-0
  117. P1 04:14
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
  118. P1 04:14
    Stoppage - Offside
  119. P1 04:07
    Nicholas Robertson won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
  120. P1 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Adin Hill
  121. P1 02:07
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tanner Laczynski in defensive zone
  122. P1 02:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Laczynski saved by Anthony Stolarz
  123. P1 01:15
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Reilly Smith in offensive zone
  124. P1 01:12
    Simon Benoit credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
  125. P1 01:06
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Eichel assisted by Mark Stone and Ivan Barbashev
    1-0
  126. P1 00:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P1 00:00
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Maple Leafs
31Shots on Goal21
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
11Hits21
15 Shots Blocked 8
18Giveaways15
Golden KnightsVGK
Maple LeafsTOR
31Shots on Goal21
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
11Hits21
15 Shots Blocked 8
18Giveaways15

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights -118, Maple Leafs +102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 51%
  • Maple Leafs: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 51%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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