NFL player props today: Week 2 best props include Foster Moreau [9/20/2026]

Foster Moreau over 0.5 receptions (-218)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 74.4%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Bengals vs. Texans (1:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Texans' Foster Moreau over 0.5 receptions. A probability of 74.4% gives this play an edge of 5.9% at -218 odds.

De'Von Achane under 4.5 receptions (-168)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 68.6%
• Projection: 3.7
• Game: Dolphins vs. 49ers (4:25PM ET)

De'Von Achane’s receptions prop shows a 5.9% edge at -168 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 3.7 receptions on the under 4.5 line.

Harold Fannin Jr. under 4.5 receptions (-158)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Projection: 3.7
• Game: Browns vs. Buccaneers (1:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Harold Fannin Jr. under 4.5 receptions, with simulations showing a 68.5% probability and a 7.3% edge at -158.

Ashton Jeanty under 4.5 receptions (-174)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 68.3%
• Projection: 3.7
• Game: Raiders vs. Chargers (4:05PM ET)

Our model projects Ashton Jeanty to record 3.7 receptions today, creating an edge of 4.8% on the under 4.5 line at -174 odds.

Quentin Johnston under 4.5 receptions (-162)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Projection: 3.8
• Game: Raiders vs. Chargers (4:05PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Quentin Johnston under 4.5 receptions for Chargers, showing an edge of 5.4% at -162 odds.

Jaylen Warren under 3.5 receptions (-173)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Projection: 2.9
• Game: Steelers vs. Patriots (1:00PM ET)

Jaylen Warren’s receptions prop shows an edge of 3.5% at -173 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.9 today.

Kayshon Boutte under 3.5 receptions (-172)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Projection: 2.9
• Game: Bengals vs. Texans (1:00PM ET)

Our model projects Kayshon Boutte for 2.9 receptions for Texans, creating an edge of 3.5% on under 3.5 at -172 odds.

Gunnar Helm under 3.5 receptions (-169)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 66.1%
• Projection: 2.9
• Game: Eagles vs. Titans (1:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Gunnar Helm for 2.9 receptions, creating value on the under 3.5 line at -169 odds and a 3.3% edge.

Matthew Golden under 4.5 receptions (-167)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Projection: 3.8
• Game: Packers vs. Jets (1:00PM ET)

A 3.4% edge on the under 3.5 receptions line makes Matthew Golden a value play in Packers vs. Jets, with our model projecting him for 3.8 receptions at -167 odds.

Michael Mayer under 5.5 receptions (-136)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Raiders vs. Chargers (4:05PM ET)

Simulations project Michael Mayer for 4.8 receptions here, creating a 8.2% edge on the under 5.5 line at -136 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 2, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:38AM ET:

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Conclusion

For September 20, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Foster Moreau, De'Von Achane and Harold Fannin Jr.. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.