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Read Article NFL best bets today: Week 1 picks include Dolphins vs. Raiders play [9/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get NFL best bets and predictions for Sunday, September 13, 2026.
Today’s NFL picks for September 13, 2026 are here, with Dolphins vs. Raiders and Packers vs. Vikings among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s NFL slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest football odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of NFL best bets today [9/13, updated 4:09PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s NFL best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, September 13, 2026.
Dolphins +3.5 (-120)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 60.8%
- Matchup: Dolphins vs. Raiders (4:25PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Dolphins +3.5 at -120 odds. A 60.8% probability produces an edge of 6.3%, making this the strongest play for today's NFL slate.
Packers vs. Vikings Over 45.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Matchup: Packers vs. Vikings (4:25PM ET)
Packers vs. Vikings over 45.5 points carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 52.5% at +104 odds, according to our model.
Cardinals ML (+413)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 22.7%
- Matchup: Cardinals vs. Chargers (4:25PM ET)
Cardinals ML at +413 odds shows a 3.2% edge, supported by a 22.7% probability in simulations.
Dolphins vs. Raiders over 40.5 points (+102)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 51.8%
- Matchup: Dolphins vs. Raiders (4:25PM ET)
A 2.3% edge and 51.8% probability make Dolphins vs. Raiders over 40.5 points a value play in the Dolphins vs. Raiders matchup, per our model.
Cardinals vs. Chargers Under 46.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Matchup: Cardinals vs. Chargers (4:25PM ET)
Cardinals vs. Chargers Under 46.5 points at +104 odds presents a 2.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 51.1%.
NFL best bets summary: Sunday, 9/13/2026
As of 4:09PM ET, here are our top NFL bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins vs. Raiders | Dolphins +3.5 | -120 @ Novig | 6.3% | 60.8% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | Over 45.5 points | +104 @ Novig | 3.5% | 52.5% |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers | Cardinals ML | +413 @ Novig | 3.2% | 22.7% |
| Dolphins vs. Raiders | Over 40.5 points | +102 @ Novig | 2.3% | 51.8% |
| Cardinals vs. Chargers | Under 46.5 Points | +104 @ Polymarket | 2.1% | 51.1% |
List of upcoming NFL games to bet on [9/13/2026]
- Cardinals vs. Chargers (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
- Packers vs. Vikings (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
- Dolphins vs. Raiders (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
- Commanders vs. Eagles (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
- Cowboys vs. Giants (8:20PM ET, Sunday)
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Discover the difference our best bets make with Dimers Pro. Check out this explainer video to see how you can gain an edge.
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Conclusion
Our NFL best bets are locked and loaded for September 13, 2026, featuring plays such as Dolphins +3.5 vs. Raiders and over 45.5 points in the Packers vs. Vikings matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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