Saints vs. Ravens prediction favors Baltimore to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Dimers' simulation model projects a 76.5% win probability for the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium.

The New Orleans Saints take on the Baltimore Ravens in NFL action.
New Orleans Saints vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL prediction for Sunday, September 20, 2026.

The Baltimore Ravens will take on the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 2 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Ravens as the most likely winner in this Saints vs. Ravens prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Saints vs. Ravens prediction and odds

Since our Saints-Ravens predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Saints and Ravens, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 76.5% chance of defeating the Saints in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 27-18.

Key factors favoring the Ravens:

  • Baltimore Ravens Power Rankings
  • Baltimore Ravens Offensive Efficiency
  • New Orleans Saints Offensive Efficiency

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Saints and Ravens each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 51.7% chance of going over.

The main contributing factors to the over being more likely are:

  • Baltimore Ravens Form
  • QB Ratings
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Saints +8.5 (-104) / Ravens -8.5 (+102)
  • Moneyline: Saints +376, Ravens -365
  • Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-104/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Ravens -8.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Saints @ 21¢ via Polymarket
  • Total: Over 46.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Saints to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Saints vs. Ravens TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Saints vs. Ravens?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs. Ravens.

Our projections give Henry a 60.3% chance of scoring a TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the running back is a 16.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New Orleans Saints

  • Travis Etienne (RB): 31.7% probability
  • Chris Olave (WR): 27.8%
  • Juwan Johnson (TE): 17.4%
  • Devaughn Vele (WR): 17.3%
  • Tyler Shough (QB): 15.8%

Baltimore Ravens

  • Derrick Henry (RB): 60.3% prob.
  • Mark Andrews (TE): 36.3%
  • Rashod Bateman (WR): 29.4%
  • Lamar Jackson (QB): 26.3%
  • Justice Hill (RB): 18.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New Orleans Saints

  • Travis Etienne (RB): 8.2% prob.
  • Chris Olave (WR): 7.1%
  • Juwan Johnson (TE): 4.1%
  • Devaughn Vele (WR): 4.1%
  • Tyler Shough (QB): 3.7%

Baltimore Ravens

  • Derrick Henry (RB): 16.6% prob.
  • Mark Andrews (TE): 8.1%
  • Rashod Bateman (WR): 6.2%
  • Lamar Jackson (QB): 5.5%
  • Justice Hill (RB): 3.7%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Ravens. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Tyler Shough is projected for 241 passing yards, while the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 217 yards.

Saints rushing

  • Travis Etienne: 44 yds
  • Kendre Miller: 21 yds
  • Tyler Shough: 19 yds

Ravens rushing

  • Derrick Henry: 97 yds
  • Lamar Jackson: 45 yds
  • Justice Hill: 15 yds

Saints receiving

  • Chris Olave: 73 yds
  • Devaughn Vele: 47 yds
  • Juwan Johnson: 42 yds
  • Bryce Lance: 25 yds
  • Noah Fant: 18 yds

Ravens receiving

  • Mark Andrews: 48 yds
  • Rashod Bateman: 43 yds
  • LaJohntay Wester: 28 yds
  • Devontez Walker: 24 yds
  • Chris Moore: 24 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 2 game between the Ravens and Saints at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

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Conclusion

We predict the Ravens, with a 76.5% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 2 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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