Raiders vs. Chargers prediction favors Chargers to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.8% win probability for the Chargers at SoFi Stadium.

The Las Vegas Raiders take on the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL action.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL prediction for Sunday, September 20, 2026.

The Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders are scheduled to meet in Week 2 of the NFL season at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:05 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Chargers as the most likely winner in this Raiders vs. Chargers prediction.

This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Raiders vs. Chargers prediction and odds

Since our Raiders-Chargers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Raiders and Chargers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Chargers a 70.8% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 24-18.

Key factors favoring the Chargers:

  • Las Vegas Raiders Offensive Efficiency
  • Los Angeles Chargers Power Rankings
  • Los Angeles Chargers Home Ground Advantage

According to our model, the Raiders (+6.5) have a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 52.1% chance of staying under.

The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:

  • Los Angeles Chargers Form
  • Las Vegas Raiders Form
 

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Spread: Raiders +6.5 (+102) / Chargers -6.5 (-104)
  • Moneyline: Raiders +257, Chargers -264
  • Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-102/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Raiders +6.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Raiders @ 28¢ via Novig
  • Total: Under 43.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Raiders +6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Raiders vs. Chargers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Raiders vs. Chargers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Omarion Hampton is most likely to score an anytime TD in Raiders vs. Chargers.

Our projections give Hampton a 47.9% chance of getting in for six at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 12.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Ashton Jeanty (RB): 47.8% probability
  • Tre Tucker (WR): 21.2%
  • Michael Mayer (TE): 20.2%
  • Jalen Nailor (WR): 17.2%
  • Mike Washington (RB): 14.2%

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Omarion Hampton (RB): 47.9% prob.
  • Quentin Johnston (WR): 33.6%
  • Ladd McConkey (WR): 31.1%
  • Tre' Harris (WR): 21.2%
  • Keaton Mitchell (RB): 17.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Ashton Jeanty (RB): 13.9% prob.
  • Tre Tucker (WR): 5.1%
  • Michael Mayer (TE): 4.8%
  • Jalen Nailor (WR): 4.0%
  • Mike Washington (RB): 3.3%

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Omarion Hampton (RB): 12.8% prob.
  • Quentin Johnston (WR): 8.0%
  • Ladd McConkey (WR): 7.3%
  • Tre' Harris (WR): 4.6%
  • Keaton Mitchell (RB): 3.7%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Chargers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Kirk Cousins is projected for 202 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 228 yards.

Raiders rushing

  • Ashton Jeanty: 66 yds
  • Mike Washington: 21 yds
  • Kirk Cousins: 3 yds

Chargers rushing

  • Omarion Hampton: 67 yds
  • Keaton Mitchell: 27 yds
  • Justin Herbert: 23 yds

Raiders receiving

  • Michael Mayer: 47 yds
  • Tre Tucker: 41 yds
  • Jalen Nailor: 38 yds
  • Ashton Jeanty: 28 yds
  • Jack Bech: 24 yds

Chargers receiving

  • Ladd McConkey: 56 yds
  • Quentin Johnston: 55 yds
  • Tre' Harris: 38 yds
  • David Njoku: 28 yds
  • Oronde Gadsden: 22 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 2 game between the Chargers and Raiders at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05 PM ET.

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Conclusion

We predict the Chargers, with a 70.8% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 2 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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