Raiders vs. Chargers prediction favors Chargers to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.8% win probability for the Chargers at SoFi Stadium.

The Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders are scheduled to meet in Week 2 of the NFL season at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:05 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Chargers as the most likely winner in this Raiders vs. Chargers prediction.
This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Raiders vs. Chargers prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives the Chargers a 70.8% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 24-18.
Key factors favoring the Chargers:
- Las Vegas Raiders Offensive Efficiency
- Los Angeles Chargers Power Rankings
- Los Angeles Chargers Home Ground Advantage
According to our model, the Raiders (+6.5) have a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 52.1% chance of staying under.
The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:
- Los Angeles Chargers Form
- Las Vegas Raiders Form
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Raiders +6.5 (+102) / Chargers -6.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Raiders +257, Chargers -264
- Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-102/+100)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Raiders +6.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Raiders @ 28¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 43.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Raiders +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Raiders vs. Chargers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Raiders vs. Chargers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Omarion Hampton is most likely to score an anytime TD in Raiders vs. Chargers.
Our projections give Hampton a 47.9% chance of getting in for six at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 12.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
- Ashton Jeanty (RB): 47.8% probability
- Tre Tucker (WR): 21.2%
- Michael Mayer (TE): 20.2%
- Jalen Nailor (WR): 17.2%
- Mike Washington (RB): 14.2%
Los Angeles Chargers
- Omarion Hampton (RB): 47.9% prob.
- Quentin Johnston (WR): 33.6%
- Ladd McConkey (WR): 31.1%
- Tre' Harris (WR): 21.2%
- Keaton Mitchell (RB): 17.4%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
- Ashton Jeanty (RB): 13.9% prob.
- Tre Tucker (WR): 5.1%
- Michael Mayer (TE): 4.8%
- Jalen Nailor (WR): 4.0%
- Mike Washington (RB): 3.3%
Los Angeles Chargers
- Omarion Hampton (RB): 12.8% prob.
- Quentin Johnston (WR): 8.0%
- Ladd McConkey (WR): 7.3%
- Tre' Harris (WR): 4.6%
- Keaton Mitchell (RB): 3.7%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Chargers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Kirk Cousins is projected for 202 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Raiders rushing
- Ashton Jeanty: 66 yds
- Mike Washington: 21 yds
- Kirk Cousins: 3 yds
Chargers rushing
- Omarion Hampton: 67 yds
- Keaton Mitchell: 27 yds
- Justin Herbert: 23 yds
Raiders receiving
- Michael Mayer: 47 yds
- Tre Tucker: 41 yds
- Jalen Nailor: 38 yds
- Ashton Jeanty: 28 yds
- Jack Bech: 24 yds
Chargers receiving
- Ladd McConkey: 56 yds
- Quentin Johnston: 55 yds
- Tre' Harris: 38 yds
- David Njoku: 28 yds
- Oronde Gadsden: 22 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 2 game between the Chargers and Raiders at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
- Time: 4:05 PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Chargers, with a 70.8% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 2 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



