Week One English Premier League: Predictions, picks and bets

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Week One English Premier League: Predictions, picks and bets

The English Premier League returns this weekend after the shortest off-season we’ve ever had.

With so much sport on right now, you may not have time to nail down your soccer bets, so to help you out, we’ve pulled out the best plays you can make on the English soccer this week!

RELATED: EPL Season Preview Part One / Part Two

Check out what our computer is predicting for the opening weekend ⬇️

Southampton vs. Crystal Palace

BEST: 💵 Southampton moneyline (+135*) has a 45% probability

Something to keep in mind when betting on soccer is that a 50% probability at the ML is rare considering the draw. So a 45% chance with plus money here is a great play.

Southampton and Palace are likely going to have very different seasons and that should be reflected here with the Saints getting a W.

Suggested Correct Score and Over/Under plays HERE

Newcastle vs. West Ham

BEST: 💵 Newcastle moneyline (+270*) has a 29% probability

West Ham are favorites with the sportsbooks for their season opener against Newcastle, but we’re liking the Magpies as the underdogs. Our model is seeing a 2.6% edge against the books, basically meaning that our data says a Newcastle win is more likely than the odds suggest.

West Ham have a lot of stuff going on off the field at the moment, and with Newcastle adding Callum Wilson (7 goals in 8 games vs. West Ham), we’re taking the underdogs at the ML.

Suggested Correct Score and Over/Under plays HERE

Everton vs. Tottenham

BEST: 💵 Draw (+260*) has a 27% probability

Tottenham is the home team and favorite for this one, but Everton have brought in James Rodriguez and will be confident in a good performance first up.

We’re playing the draw here in a game between two sides that could be fighting for a similar position all season.

Suggested Correct Score and Over/Under plays HERE

Chelsea vs. Brighton

BEST: Total goals over 2.5 (-139*) has a 56% probability

Chelsea have added a lot of offensive weapons in the off-season and with young superstar Christian Pulisic gaining the No. 10 shirt and looking to take the next step, there should be goals in most of their games this season.

Chelsea's incredible attack combined with its shaky defense means that we are taking the over 2.5 goals in this game.

Suggested Correct Score and Moneyline plays HERE

Read our comprehensive online sportsbook reviews here.

*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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