Commanders vs. Cardinals Prediction: Arizona Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Washington Commanders-Arizona Cardinals Predictions and Game Preview.
State Farm Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Washington Commanders and Arizona Cardinals this Sunday.

The Arizona Cardinals will take on the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 4 action at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:05PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Cardinals as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Commanders-Cardinals game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Cardinals with a win probability of 61%, while the Commanders have 39%."

Commanders vs. Cardinals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Cardinals and Commanders at State Farm Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Commanders vs. Cardinals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Cardinals vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Commanders vs. Cardinals Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Commanders and Cardinals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cardinals a 61% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cardinals winning 26-23.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Commanders and Cardinals each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Along with our Commanders vs. Cardinals predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

Commanders vs. Cardinals Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Commanders Cardinals
Spread +3.5 (-110) -3.5 (-105)
Moneyline +152 -180
Total o48.5 (-110) u48.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Commanders vs. Cardinals Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Commanders vs. Cardinals matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Commanders vs. Cardinals TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Cardinals?

According to our model, Arizona's James Conner is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Cardinals.

Our projections give Conner a 13.0% chance of scoring the first TD at State Farm Stadium, while the Cardinals RB is a 54.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player First TD Probability
Brian Robinson 11.6%
Jayden Daniels 11.6%
Terry McLaurin 6.0%

Arizona Cardinals

Player First TD Probability
James Conner 13.0%
Marvin Harrison 11.2%
Kyler Murray 7.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels 50.7%
Brian Robinson 50.3%
Terry McLaurin 29.1%

Arizona Cardinals

Player Anytime TD Probability
James Conner 54.0%
Marvin Harrison 47.7%
Kyler Murray 35.0%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Commanders vs Cardinals Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Commanders and Cardinals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Commanders-Cardinals page now to access every player prop projection.

Commanders vs. Cardinals Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Cardinals' Kyler Murray.

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Jeremy McNichols are projected to be the leading rushers for the Commanders.

Player Position
Brian Robinson RB
Jayden Daniels QB
Jeremy McNichols RB

Cardinals Rushing

James Conner, Kyler Murray and Trey Benson are expected to lead the Cardinals in rushing yards.

Player Position
James Conner RB
Kyler Murray QB
Trey Benson RB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown, Brian Robinson, Zach Ertz and Dyami Brown are projected to top the receiving yards for the Commanders.

Player Position
Terry McLaurin WR
Noah Brown WR
Brian Robinson RB
Zach Ertz TE
Dyami Brown WR

Cardinals Receiving

Marvin Harrison, Greg Dortch, Michael Wilson, Elijah Higgins and Tip Reiman are projected to lead the Cardinals in receiving yards.

Player Position
Marvin Harrison WR
Greg Dortch WR
Michael Wilson WR
Elijah Higgins TE
Tip Reiman TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Cardinals, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Commanders in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Commanders vs. Cardinals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props and has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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