Vegas Golden Knights vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [12/21/2023]

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks  [12/21/2023]

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Thursday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.'s full betting preview for Thursday's Golden Knights vs. Lightning matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and data to simulate the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Golden Knights and Lightning 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model can't split the two teams, giving both the Golden Knights and Lightning a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Golden Knights (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 54% chance of going under.

To make the most of today's Vegas vs. Tampa Bay betting analysis, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Golden Knights Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-235) -1.5 (+195)
Moneyline +100 -118
Total o6.5 (-110) u6.5 (-105)
  • The Lightning are currently -1.5 favorites versus the Golden Knights, with +195 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Golden Knights (+1.5) to cover the puck line, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -235.
  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -118, which means you can risk $118 to win $100 for a total payout of $218 if they get the W.
  • Elsewhere, BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Golden Knights at +100, where you can risk $100 to win $100 for a total payout of $200 if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under is set at 6.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Golden Knights +1.5 -235
Moneyline Golden Knights +100
Total Under 6.5 -105


Our best NHL bets are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Golden Knights vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point an 8.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 39.4% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player First Goal Probability
Jack Eichel 6.5%
Jonathan Marchessault 5.5%
Mark Stone 5.2%
Pavel Dorofeyev 4.3%
Ivan Barbashev 3.9%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 8.5%
Nikita Kucherov 6.6%
Steven Stamkos 6.2%
Brandon Hagel 5.3%
Nick Paul 3.9%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Jack Eichel 34.0%
Jonathan Marchessault 29.5%
Mark Stone 27.7%
Pavel Dorofeyev 24.9%
Ivan Barbashev 21.9%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 39.4%
Nikita Kucherov 35.4%
Steven Stamkos 32.5%
Brandon Hagel 28.6%
Nick Paul 23.8%
Don't forget, our model updates often, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting analysis before the Golden Knights vs. Lightning on Thursday December 21, 2023.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Game Information

Thursday's matchup between the Lightning and Golden Knights at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Golden Knights vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live scores.

How to Bet on Golden Knights vs. Lightning

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL now? Check out the top sportsbook promos in your state.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Thursday's Golden Knights vs. Lightning clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Our picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Golden Knights vs. Lightning predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

Related Articles

More Articles
More from Dimers
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 8,000,000+
Our partners