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UNLV vs. Boise State prediction: Boise State favored to win Mountain West Championship, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get UNLV vs Boise State predictions for college football Friday.
Boise State will square off with UNLV in the 2025 Mountain West Championship Game at Albertsons Stadium on Friday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college football model predicts Boise State as the most likely winner of the UNLV vs. Boise State game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Mountain West Conference Football Championship Game prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of UNLV vs. Boise State 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Boise State a 62% chance of beating UNLV. Our predicted final score has Boise State winning 30-25.
According to our model, UNLV (+5.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 58.5 points has a 58% chance of going over.
UNLV vs. Boise State odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UNLV | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-110) | -5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +184 | -200 |
| Total | o58.5 (-110) | u58.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UNLV vs. Boise State picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNLV +5.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | UNLV | +184 |
| Total | Over 58.5 | -110 |
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 58.5 total points.
UNLV vs. Boise State game-day updates and essential details
Friday's college football game between Boise State and UNLV at Albertsons Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: UNLV vs. Boise State
- Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Albertsons Stadium
Conclusion
We predict Boise State, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat UNLV on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UNLV vs. Boise State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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