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Raptors vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [4/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Friday.
The Memphis Grizzlies and Toronto Raptors are scheduled to meet in NBA action at FedExForum on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like GG Jackson, Cedric Coward and Javon Small, while the Raptors will be led by Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Grizzlies, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Raptors an 85% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 121-109.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+13.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -13.5 (-110) | +13.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -1000 | +660 |
| Total | o232.5 (-115) | u232.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +13.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +660 |
| Total | Under 232.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies player props
Betting on Raptors vs. Grizzlies NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while GG Jackson is projected to have 14 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 41 |
| RJ Barrett | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Scottie Barnes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 50 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 33 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| Cedric Coward | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Javon Small | 13 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 30 |
| Walter Clayton | 11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 25 |
| T. Hendricks | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
Raptors vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Grizzlies and Raptors at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Friday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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