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Raptors vs. Celtics prediction: Boston favored to win Sunday's NBA game [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Boston Celtics will take on the Toronto Raptors in NBA action at TD Garden on Sunday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Celtics game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Celtics lineup will feature stars like Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Payton Pritchard, while the Raptors will be led by Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Celtics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Raptors and Celtics, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Celtics a 77% chance of beating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 114-105.
According to our model, the Raptors (+8.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 220.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Raptors vs. Celtics odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (+105) | -8.5 (-130) |
| Moneyline | +370 | -450 |
| Total | o220.5 (-105) | u220.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Celtics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors +8.5 | +105 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | +370 |
| Total | Over 220.5 | -105 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Raptors +8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Celtics player props
Betting on Raptors vs. Celtics NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 20 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jaylen Brown is projected to have 28 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Celtics.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 20 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| RJ Barrett | 19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 35 |
| Scottie Barnes | 17 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 43 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
Celtics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Celtics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 28 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 50 |
| Jayson Tatum | 24 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 49 |
| P. Pritchard | 16 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 32 |
| Derrick White | 16 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 35 |
| Nikola Vucevic | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
Raptors vs. Celtics game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Celtics and Raptors at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Celtics, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Sunday, with Jaylen Brown projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Celtics insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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