Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds, NHL Picks [4/17/2024]

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2024 NHL Playoffs at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Wednesday's Maple Leafs vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win

We have used powerful machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Wednesday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Maple Leafs and Lightning 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NHL predictions.

Our popular predictive analytics model gives the Lightning a 54% chance of beating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the over/under total of 6.5 goals also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the National Hockey League's postseason elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Maple Leafs and Lightning, reached the NHL Playoffs 2024, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Lightning
Moneyline	+105	-120
Total	o6.5 (-135)	u6.5 (+118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Picks

At Dimers, our predictions, combined with the latest odds, reveal the top betting picks for every game, including Maple Leafs vs. Lightning. Our NHL best bets are based on expert modeling and analysis, as you can see.

With an edge of 4.4%, a pick from the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning game is featured in today's best bets on Dimers Pro.

Dimers Pro subscribers get hundreds of data-driven bets daily across thousands of games. Join now to get instant access and see the pick we have for this game, plus any potential props.

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Matthews a 10.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	10.3%
William Nylander	6.6%
Tyler Bertuzzi	6.2%
John Tavares	5.4%
Mitchell Marner	5.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	9.2%
Steven Stamkos	6.9%
Nikita Kucherov	5.3%
Nick Paul	4.8%
Anthony Duclair	4.7%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	47.2%
William Nylander	33.7%
Tyler Bertuzzi	31.7%
John Tavares	28.6%
Mitchell Marner	28.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	44.4%
Steven Stamkos	37.1%
Nikita Kucherov	29.0%
Anthony Duclair	25.9%
Nick Paul	25.5%

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game Information

Wednesday's game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024
• Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

Our full betting coverage of the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning includes pregame predictions, betting picks and live win probabilities.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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